Confession--I started writing this post yesterday, I got worried because it seemed to take a negative turn which wasn't my intention. So I put out some feelers on the Twitter to see what anyone else had to say, the lovely Spokant responded, her analysis is at the end of the post.
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Between being on vacation and being lazy, I've been putting off doing the overager analysis for this upcoming season. Plus, no matter how you slice it, it's going to be rough to fill those 3 20-year-old spots.
Eligible to fill the 20YO spots are:
- Brendan Shinnimin
- Adam Hughesman
- Mason Wilgosh
- Brock Sutherland
- Carter Ashton
- Matt Mackenzie
- Clinton Atkinson
- Drew Owsley
I went off the 2011 Playoff roster on the WHL site, found the 1991 birthdays, took out Conrad and Sohor since Bob has already released them, these are the names I'm left with. That's eight players for 3 available spots. So, over the next however long, I'll take a look at each one individually, starting at the top of the list with Brendan Shinnimin.
Shinny's stats from the WHL:
Regular Season
Season GP G A PTS +/- PIM
2010-11 Regular Season 60 34 62 96 20 84
2009-10 Regular Season 70 27 55 82 11 82
2008-09 Regular Season 64 12 13 25 9 69
2007-08 Regular Season 4 0 0 0 0 0
Total: 198 73 130 203 40 235
Playoffs
Season GP G A PTS +/- PIM
2011 WHL Playoffs 10 4 7 11 0 16
2010 WHL Playoffs 22 8 17 25 1 29
2009 WHL Playoffs 11 0 5 5 -2 16
Total: 43 12 29 41 -1 61
When looking at the stats it's important to note that he only played 60 regular season games this past season and still accumulated 96 points. That's pretty impressive.
WHY HE'LL BE KEPT:
Offense, offense, offense. He can score and he can score a lot. Brendan can also set up other guys--lots of assists listed there. He's a fast and fluid skater, he has a passion for the game that shows in every shift. Shinny's not the biggest guy but he uses that to his advantage to work his way into the corners to do some of the grit work. He celebrates each goal like he just won the Stanley Cup in overtime of game 7.
Shinnimin has given a lot of himself to this organization and the community in the last several years. He is a pivotal part of the leadership group. He has great chemistry with Hughesman and the other Winnipeggers. He's definitely an asset that any team would be lucky to have. To me though, it's a matter of taming the tiger (see below).
After "the hit" and suspension Shinny became Public Enemy #1 (supposedly) and he was mauled by the opposition night in and night out with little interference from the refs. Did he deserve that? Maybe, I don't know the ins-and-outs of how that on-ice adversary stuff works. Did other WHL players want retribution for his hit? Did the refs want him to suffer? I have no idea, but he dealt with it like a champ, considering the abuse. There were times his anger and frustration could have blown up and he could have done some stupid shit, but held himself together--for the most part (see below, again).
WHY HE WON'T BE KEPT:
Firstly, see the above--he's valuable. I'm sure there are several teams looking for a 20YO like Shinny and as such he'll have a pretty good trade value. "Trader Bob" could probably work out a pretty good deal for him. But would Bob want Shinny on an opposing team? Would you?
Secondly, the passion I mentioned? The 12-game suspension? They go hand-in-hand. I've said it about Shinny before. He walks a fine line between passionate and overzealous--which can be detrimental (as in, 12-game suspensions). It's also a fine line between a "good" selfishness when on the ice, and a "bad" selfishness and Shinny goes back and forth. There was a quote some years ago from one of Ilya Kovalchuk's coaches, when talking about getting him to be a better two-way forward, it went something like it's easier to train a donkey than to tame a tiger. I may have got that totally wrong--the donkey part seems totally wrong--but I know the tiger part is right. And it seems there's been some attempted tiger taming going on.
Shinny is wildly talented and passionate and with that comes frustration. But c'mon man, you're on a team. So rolling your eyes that someone else missed a pass is--while understandable--not professional, not supportive of your teammates. It's that arrogant attitude, like he's never missed a pass, that irritates me. It's the banging the stick on the ice incessantly that drives me insane. That's that fine line between good and bad selfish. If you're open for a pass or a shot, you have to trust that your teammates will see that, and the stick banging may be warranted. But it can also signal (to me at least) a lack of confidence in your teammates--like you're the only one who should be handling the puck and by God (bang bang bang) they'd better pass you the puck (bang bang bang) because they can't be trusted to do the right thing with it (bang bang bang).
There was also the game in Spokane when Hiller had to yank him pretty hard to get him to get off the bench. As a spectator it was a horrific display of disrespect towards his coach.
It's no secret (duh) that Shinny isn't one of my favorites as you can see above, but seriously, he is highly talented and like I also said, a huge asset to the team. And I certainly wouldn't want him to be on an opposing team. Apologies for the negative tone of the post, maybe I'm nitpicking. I don't want it to seem like I hate the guy, I don't, I just get frustrated by him and I worry he's a loose cannon. If Tory and Hiller can indeed tame the tiger he'll definitely be an awesome player to watch this upcoming season.
I am not going to make predictions about who I think Bob will keep or not keep (with a few exceptions) but Shinny's one I could see it going either way.
SPOKANT'S ANALYSIS:
Pros: It's hard to argue with 96 points. He very well could have been the leading scorer in the Dub if he hadn't been suspended. He very well could be next season. He hates to lose and his work ethic is second only to Mason Wilgosh. Other teams and their fans hate him for the antagonist he is and the goals he scores. Draws his fair share of penalties. Huge part of special teams. Decent face-off guy, of which the Ams always seem to be in need. Chemistry with Hughey.
Cons: It seems as Shinny has aged and gotten better, his ego has inflated and his selfish play rears its ugly head more often than it should. His reputation as a "dirty player" and a diver makes him a target. Unfortunately, he does not draw as many penalties as he did in prior seasons due to that reputation (which is BS, but I digress).
My guess: Brendan isn't going anywhere.